Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.019364 0.020889 0.022477 0.024255 0.026191 0.028238 0.030566
2025-11-02 0.016845 0.019034 0.021434 0.024263 0.027516 0.031146 0.035516
2025-11-09 0.014930 0.017454 0.020325 0.023845 0.028059 0.032961 0.039120
2025-11-16 0.013493 0.016209 0.019394 0.023423 0.028409 0.034408 0.042221
2025-11-23 0.012516 0.015391 0.018851 0.023349 0.029078 0.036180 0.045725
2025-11-30 0.011654 0.014626 0.018288 0.023162 0.029532 0.037641 0.048853
2025-12-07 0.010945 0.013991 0.017823 0.023037 0.030011 0.039109 0.052021
2025-12-14 0.010300 0.013390 0.017350 0.022846 0.030359 0.040381 0.054957
2025-12-21 0.009823 0.012973 0.017082 0.022894 0.031003 0.042055 0.058508
2025-12-28 0.009330 0.012502 0.016708 0.022762 0.031369 0.043340 0.061552
2026-01-04 0.008920 0.012118 0.016425 0.022729 0.031855 0.044793 0.064897
2026-01-11 0.008585 0.011817 0.016235 0.022806 0.032487 0.046469 0.068646
2026-01-18 0.008214 0.011462 0.015971 0.022790 0.033023 0.048095 0.072524
2026-01-25 0.007864 0.011120 0.015710 0.022767 0.033548 0.049739 0.076551
2026-02-01 0.007433 0.010640 0.015222 0.022373 0.033479 0.050460 0.079143
2026-02-08 0.007038 0.010190 0.014754 0.021979 0.033380 0.051110 0.081640
2026-02-15 0.006760 0.009901 0.014509 0.021910 0.033776 0.052552 0.085518
2026-02-22 0.006475 0.009587 0.014210 0.021736 0.033987 0.053695 0.088948
2026-03-01 0.006224 0.009313 0.013958 0.021619 0.034277 0.054972 0.092674
2026-03-08 0.005976 0.009031 0.013678 0.021441 0.034451 0.056055 0.096112
2026-03-15 0.005794 0.008846 0.013541 0.021486 0.034993 0.057780 0.100803
2026-03-22 0.005587 0.008610 0.013311 0.021363 0.035239 0.059000 0.104635
2026-03-29 0.005411 0.008417 0.013142 0.021332 0.035637 0.060500 0.109076